Once every few months I would like to present an insight from
my research on what is happening within each of the Australian state’s capital
city property market. In general according to the Australian
Financial Review home values across 5 of Australia’s capital cities up to
September of this year are up .4 %. Anyway here is a snapshot of what is happening in each of
the state’s capital cities:
Sydney:
In
general over the last year Sydney’s market has shown median house prices down
by around 1%.However the top end of the market is still showing signs of increasing demand, particularly the eastern and lower north shore suburbs. Also in the middle and lower end of the market there is an increasing demand for houses, but was interesting is that over the last few years Sydney’s apartment market has outperformed the housing market with stronger rental and capital growth. In Sydney’s eastern, and beachside suburbs apartments are also performing well. However, buyers are being very selective and tending to avoid properties that are overpriced or apartments that are in secondary locations and not within prime locations. Overall still as a result of a combination of the following factors: Strong rental demand, Rental properties shortage. tightening vacancies and increase in rents means investors will go for the same apartments as owner-occupiers, underpinning prices.
Perth:
For the last 5 years The Perth property market has been in a slump and hibernating, but from reports it appears to be moving again with median house prices increasing by 3.17% and apartments by 10.05% over the last year again according to Residex. Western Australia is still being voted as the nation’s strongest economy, with a low unemployment rate and high wages. For both units and houses rents are rising and there is a shortage of accommodation for the increasing number of buyers and tenants. Residex is reporting that house rents last year in Perth have grown around 16%.
Brisbane:
Over the last year Brisbane median house prices fell 0.60 % and unit prices fell 0.61% over the last year according to Residex and is now hovering near the bottom of its cycle. However talking to other investors in Brisbane I am seeing more strategic investors recognising that it’s a “buyers market” and taking advantage buying good valued property. Like Melbourne’s CBD there is an oversupply of apartments in Brisbane’s CBD, Fortitude Valley and surrounding suburbs, with over 30 projects currently being marketed. Many of these apartments will remain unsold and this oversupply of properties will put downward pressure on prices and rentals. Overall Brisbane is beginning to enter a stabilisation phase i.e. prices are stabilising but I am expecting that prices are unlikely to start rising until 2013.
For those property investors who already own rentals (me included) house rents in Brisbane have grown approximately 14% over the last year.
Melbourne:
Melbourne’s housing market has been a bit of a surprise, performing better than many expected with prices rising around 2.5% over the last quarter, clawing back half of their losses as a result of values falling over the first quarter of the year. Due to a substantial oversupply of newly built house and land packages in the outer suburbs, especially in the west and north property values in these locations may drop slightly due to oversupply. The top end of Melbourne’s property market is still quiet with an oversupply , however there is more demand for real estate priced between $500,000 and $900,000 in the inner- and middle-ring suburbs of Melbourne. With too many new apartment projects under construction there is an oversupply of CBD and near city apartments at a time when there is less demand. This will put downward pressure on prices and rentals for apartments, yet reports by Residex are revealing that Melbourne’s house rents over last year have increased by 10.53%. As a result this oversupply of apartments will linger Melbourne’s market for a few years, causing prices to fall slightly as I said before.
However apartments with an element of scarcity and not commonly seen, are still selling well as a result of a limited supply of these unique properties. Overall I expect the property market in Melbourne from what I gather to be dull, but if you are smart there are properties out there that can be bought at good pricing, and with a renovation make over can add value to them thus making some money.
Darwin:
Darwin’s property markets have performed well. Residex has reported that last year median house prices has increase by 3.37% and unit prices by 5.95%. Darwin’s market has been supported by the increased activity in the resources sector, especially offshore resources.
Adelaide:
At present Adelaide’s property markets are flat. According to Residex, median house prices fell 2.45 % and unit prices fell 2.1% over the last year. However median rents have remained steady. Since the news that the expansion of the Olympic Dam project has been put on hold, local’s confidence is lacking as many were hoping this project would turn South Australia into the next big mining state and boost the economy. Unfortunately there is nothing in the wings to suggest this market will change in the near future.
Hobart:
Median house prices in Hobart fell 6.36 % and unit prices fell 6.68% over the last year. If you look over the longer term Hobart’s property market has performed relatively well. However since Hobart’s economy does not shine or compare the mainland’s resources economy and its relatively isolated, I believe there are better places within Australia to invest.
Canberra:
For the good old ACT (Australian Capital Territory) according to Residex median house prices fell 0.26 % and unit prices fell 5.47% over the year. Since Canberra has low unemployment, relatively high public service incomes and a shortage of accommodation, as a result of combination of these factors the market has stabilised and should be turning.
My conclusion:
From my own personal opinion I believe there is some very good buying opportunities for the astute and long term investor. Remember property investing is not a get quick rich scheme, but with reading, talking to other like-minded people, and from people like myself presenting information when you put those together it helps one to make an informed decision.
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